01
State Dynamics
The Federation As an Operating System
Nigeria's federation is not a constitutional arrangement so much as a continually renegotiated set of incentives. Reading it as code rather than as text clarifies almost everything.
The Country as a Subject
Nigeria, read structurally.
Analyses of state dynamics, institutional behaviour, governance patterns and the incentives that organise Nigerian public life.
02
Institutional Reading
Why Reform Programmes Hollow Out
Most reform programmes in Nigeria fail not because of resistance, but because the institutions they are passed through metabolise them. The metabolism, not the policy, is the story.
03
Public Psychology
Public Psychology and the Permanent Election
Nigerian public life is governed by a perpetual electoral psychology. This is not a flaw of the political class; it is a stable equilibrium that serves a great many people.
04
Power Incentives
The Quiet Architecture of State Capture
Capture rarely arrives as scandal. It arrives as routine: procurement patterns, appointment timing, an unremarkable budget line. The unremarkable is the point.